Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.445975 0.489742 0.536654 0.590796 0.651708 0.718286 0.796791
2025-11-02 0.377010 0.438307 0.508737 0.596164 0.702498 0.828547 0.990635
2025-11-09 0.328547 0.396322 0.477810 0.584011 0.720241 0.891151 1.125029
2025-11-16 0.301212 0.374394 0.465715 0.589642 0.755924 0.974957 1.291500
2025-11-23 0.275980 0.351558 0.448806 0.585314 0.775590 1.036966 1.433198
2025-11-30 0.258124 0.336094 0.439217 0.588482 0.803950 1.111716 1.599848
2025-12-07 0.239333 0.317485 0.423304 0.580581 0.814651 1.160712 1.732272
2025-12-14 0.223370 0.301326 0.409151 0.573332 0.824654 1.208362 1.866839
2025-12-21 0.205750 0.281485 0.388127 0.553868 0.813753 1.221689 1.945550
2025-12-28 0.198379 0.275702 0.386789 0.563486 0.848261 1.309780 2.161301
2026-01-04 0.191022 0.269351 0.383995 0.570330 0.878491 1.393300 2.379486
2026-01-11 0.183423 0.262090 0.379210 0.573413 0.902413 1.467977 2.590889
2026-01-18 0.176003 0.254772 0.374023 0.575707 0.925670 1.544812 2.819724
2026-01-25 0.169787 0.248930 0.370744 0.580847 0.954280 1.634418 3.088157
2026-02-01 0.160461 0.237664 0.358077 0.569072 0.951466 1.664677 3.236898
2026-02-08 0.155450 0.232928 0.355612 0.574529 0.980323 1.758464 3.537460
2026-02-15 0.148920 0.225374 0.348020 0.570335 0.990593 1.816335 3.766239
2026-02-22 0.144250 0.220577 0.344691 0.573405 1.014812 1.904882 4.081195
2026-03-01 0.137966 0.212789 0.335840 0.565748 1.017272 1.948007 4.292828
2026-03-08 0.132223 0.205622 0.327654 0.558723 1.020300 1.992504 4.515367
2026-03-15 0.124860 0.195397 0.313646 0.539856 0.997675 1.978201 4.582175
2026-03-22 0.122565 0.193681 0.314446 0.549180 1.034077 2.100320 5.038176
2026-03-29 0.119959 0.191294 0.313900 0.555814 1.065331 2.214265 5.494735